It just doesnt’ make any sense.
What the US has to gain by attacking Iran?
Nothing.
The United States doesn’t need its oil.
The US is hardly reliant on sea trade routes around the Middle East.
It’s trade through Suez Canal is only 3%.
Through the Persian Gulf, it’s 7%.
The seaborne trade routes through the region though are vital for its European allies.
Britain, France, Germany etc all need to secure the energy from the Middle East for their own good, more so now that they have turned backs on Russia.
Interestingly, what is important for the European Union (EU) isn’t one for the United States.
And what all we have seen in recent months, Trump doesn’t see any reason to align US interests with Europe, be it Greenland, NATO or Ukraine.
And so it would be in the Middle East: Much of interest to the European Union and little to the United States.
The risk-to-reward factor for Washington too is lop-sided.
It’s the year of mid-term elections and president Trump would be foolish to embark on this reckless adventure in which the most Washington could achieve is a regime change.
It’s out of question that it would control the large country and an extremely hostile population.
There is also this lurking fear that by attacking Tehran, Washington would be exposing its eight permanent military bases in the region which house 45,000 troops.
Any aircraft carrier sunk or a US military base attacked with number of casualties would leave the Trump presidency gutted in the year of the mid-term elections.
One could argue the United States would have hurt the gatekeepers of Russia and China on their world trade by attacking Iran.
But as said, attack without occupation; without boots on the ground; and at the most a regime change which still would be hostile to the United States, would be a foolhardy mission.
If the US does send its army inside Iran, it could be bound down for years and almost certainly spell ruins for the Trump presidency.
This brings us to the Israel Factor.
The Benjamin Netanyahu-led Jewish state of course would like the Islamic Republic of Iran to be broken up or at least a regime change effected so the region sways under its thumb without any significant opposition.
Iran’s capitulation would also rid Tel Aviv of hostile militias and groups around its beleaguered borders.
But it could also galvanise the Iranians under the present regime and strengthen rather than weaken the latter’s hand.
Besides, Israel on its own is incapable of pinning down Iran without the support of the United States.
Trump’s priority at the moment is the body-blow he aims to deliver to the globalists at World Economic Forum (WEF) in a few days’ time (January 19-23).
There is a reason why he has withdrawn the United States from 66 out of the 76 total international organisations which are outside the ambit of any court or government inquiry or inspection.
They are completely out of bounds of any law or any enforcement agencies!
Trump is determined to target these bodies which appear sanguine to an untrained eye but essentially are front under whose cover the globalists loot and destabilize countries and use tax havens for mind-boggling numbers in money-laundering and drug-trafficking.
In between the WEF and the gauntlet Trump has thrown at his European allies in the form of Greenland, there is little chance he would burn his fingers by launching an attack on Iran as well.
Thus much as you read from propagandist media agencies like Reuters about “imminent attack” by the US on Iran, be advised it’s unlikely to happen.
